IEA：全球石油需求自2009年來首次下降

據(jù)今日油價網(wǎng)站3月9日消息 國際能源署（IEA）周一表示，自2009年金融危機以來，今年全球石油需求將首次下降，IEA將需求前景下調(diào)110萬桶/日。

IEA執(zhí)行董事法蒂赫·比羅爾兩周前提醒稱，可能對全球石油需求增長的影響超過最初預期。該機構在2020年3月的月度石油市場上表示，2020年全球需求同比下降9萬桶/日。

在2月份的市場報告中，IEA將其2020年石油需求增長預測下調(diào)了36.5萬桶/日，至僅82.5萬桶/日，為2011年以來最低的石油需求增長，并提醒稱，全球石油需求在10多年來將首次出現(xiàn)季度萎縮。

IEA在3月份的報告中稱：“盡管形勢依然不穩(wěn)定，但我們預計2020年全球石油需求將下降，這是10多年來的首次全年下降。”

報告評論了歐佩克+聯(lián)盟的崩潰，稱這意味著歐佩克+國家在評估未來的產(chǎn)量水平時將可以自由地行使其商業(yè)判斷。

IEA的報告發(fā)布前一天，聯(lián)盟國上周五突然終止歐佩克+協(xié)議后，沙特阿拉伯對俄羅斯發(fā)動了一場油價戰(zhàn)。上周末，沙特對包括亞洲在內(nèi)的所有市場的官方銷售價格下調(diào)了6-7美元/桶，并表示將從4月份起提高產(chǎn)量，使油價周一大幅下挫，創(chuàng)下1991年以來的最大跌幅。

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價

原文如下：

IEA: Oil Demand To Drop For First Time Since 2009

Global oil demand is set to drop this year for the first time since the financial crisis in 2009, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Monday, as it slashed its demand outlook by 1.1 million bpd due to the coronavirus outbreak and its impact on economies.

The IEA now sees global demand falling by 90,000 bpd year on year in 2020, the agency said in its Monthly Oil Market for March 2020, after its executive director Fatih Birol warned two weeks ago that the coronavirus outbreak could hit global oil demand growth more than initially expected.

In the February market report, the IEA had slashed its 2020 oil demand growth forecast by 365,000 bpd to just 825,000 bpd—the lowest oil demand growth since 2011, and warned that the coronavirus outbreak would lead to the first quarterly contraction in global oil demand in more than 10 years.

In view of the global spread of the coronavirus and its impact on the global economy, the agency now expects full-year oil demand to drop.

“While the situation remains fluid, we expect global oil demand to fall in 2020 – the first full-year decline in more than a decade,” the IEA said in its March report.

The report commented on the collapse of the OPEC+ coalition, saying that the implication is that “the OPEC+ countries will be free to exercise their commercial judgement when assessing future levels of production.”

The IEA report comes a day after Saudi Arabia effectively launched an oil price war on Russia after the former allies abruptly ended the OPEC+ agreement last Friday. Over the weekend, the Saudis slashed their official selling prices by $6-7 a barrel to all markets including Asia, and signaled they would boost production as of April, sending oil prices into a tailspin on Monday to the biggest fall since 1991.