全球石油有效減產(chǎn)將達(dá)1900萬(wàn)桶/日

據(jù)油氣新聞網(wǎng)站4月13日消息 據(jù)路透社報(bào)道，沙特阿拉伯能源部長(zhǎng)周一表示，考慮到歐佩克+達(dá)成的減產(chǎn)協(xié)議、二十國(guó)集團(tuán)（G20）其他成員國(guó)的承諾以及對(duì)儲(chǔ)備石油的購(gòu)買(mǎi)，全球有效的石油供應(yīng)削減將達(dá)到約1950萬(wàn)桶/日。

歐佩克和以俄羅斯為首的盟國(guó)（歐佩克+）周日同意，在疫情之際，削減石油產(chǎn)量，以提振油價(jià)，可能將全球石油供應(yīng)抑制20%。

減緩疫情的措施破壞了對(duì)燃料的需求、壓低了油價(jià)，使石油生產(chǎn)商的預(yù)算吃緊，并重創(chuàng)了美國(guó)頁(yè)巖工業(yè)，后者由于成本上升，更容易受到低價(jià)的沖擊。

歐佩克+表示，經(jīng)過(guò)四天的談判，歐佩克同意5月和6月減產(chǎn)970萬(wàn)桶/日。

據(jù)IEA稱(chēng)，Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman在電話(huà)會(huì)議上向記者表示，歐佩克+聯(lián)盟以外的二十國(guó)集團(tuán)（G20）已承諾削減約370萬(wàn)桶/日的石油供應(yīng)，而未來(lái)幾個(gè)月戰(zhàn)略石油儲(chǔ)備購(gòu)買(mǎi)量將達(dá)到2億桶。

Prince Abdulaziz還表示，如果未來(lái)幾個(gè)月市場(chǎng)有需求，且與其他產(chǎn)油國(guó)按比例集體削減石油產(chǎn)量，沙特可能會(huì)將石油產(chǎn)量削減至低于目前850萬(wàn)桶/日的配額。

歐佩克+將于6月召開(kāi)電話(huà)會(huì)議，決定產(chǎn)量政策。

Prince Abdulaziz說(shuō)：“我們必須觀察需求破壞或需求改善的情況，這取決于事態(tài)的發(fā)展?！?/span>

“在這種情況下，數(shù)字每天都在變化……必須對(duì)這些事情的進(jìn)展保持警惕，與病毒及其影響有關(guān)的不確定性仍然存在”。

有史以來(lái)最大的石油降價(jià)幅度是2008年創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄降價(jià)幅度的四倍多。盡管減產(chǎn)將持續(xù)到2022年4月，但生產(chǎn)商將在6月后緩慢放松限制。

由于疫情影響，石油需求下降了三分之一左右。協(xié)議達(dá)成后，周一的交易中，油價(jià)每桶上漲逾1美元，但由于擔(dān)心疫情打擊全球需求不足以阻止供應(yīng)過(guò)剩，漲幅受到限制。

王磊 摘譯自 油氣新聞

原文如下：

Effective global oil cuts above 19 mbpd: Prince Abdulaziz

Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister said on Monday that effective global oil supply cuts would amount to around 19.5 million barrels per day, taking into account the reduction pact agreed by Opec+, pledges by other G20 nations and oil purchases into reserves, a Reuters report said.

Opec and allies led by Russia, a group known as Opec+, agreed on Sunday to a record cut in output to prop up oil prices amid the coronavirus pandemic in an unprecedented deal with fellow oil nations, including the United States, that could curb global oil supply by 20 per cent.

Measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus have destroyed demand for fuel and driven down oil prices, straining budgets of oil producers and hammering the US shale industry, which is more vulnerable to low prices due to its higher costs.

Opec+ said it had agreed to reduce output by 9.7 million bpd for May and June, after four days of talks and following pressure from US President Donald Trump to arrest the oil price decline.

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman told reporters via a conference call that G20 nations outside the Opec+ alliance had pledged to cut about 3.7 million bpd of oil supply, while oil purchases into reserves (SPRs) were seen at 200 million barrels over the next couple of months, according to the IEA.

Prince Abdulaziz also said the kingdom could cut oil output below its current quota of 8.5 million bpd if there was a need by the market over the coming months and if any reductions were done collectively with other producers on a pro-rata basis.

Opec+ meets next in June via teleconference to decide on output policy.

"We have to watch what is happening with demand destruction or demand improvement, depending on how things may evolve," Prince Abdulaziz said.

"This is a situation where every day the numbers change ... you have to maintain being vigilant about how these things may progress," he said, adding there was still "uncertainty related with the virus and its impact".

The biggest oil cut ever is more than four times deeper than the previous record cut in 2008. Producers will slowly relax curbs after June, although reductions in production will stay in place until April 2022.

Oil demand has dropped by around a third because of the coronavirus pandemic. Oil prices jumped more than $1 a barrel in Monday trading after the agreement, but gains were capped amid concern that it would not be enough to head off oversupply with the virus hammering global demand.