EIA上調(diào)2020年平均油價預期

據(jù)道瓊斯5月13日消息，美國能源情報署（EIA）在其月度短期能源展望報告中表示，今年美國原油日產(chǎn)量可能平均為1170萬桶，去年這個數(shù)字為1220萬桶，而在其一個月前的報告中，該機構(gòu)預測2020年美國原油日產(chǎn)量預測為1180萬桶。EIA還預計，西德克薩斯中質(zhì)（WTI）原油今年的平均價格為30美元/桶，而一個月前的預測為29美元/桶，2019年的平均價格為57美元/桶。預測的變化表明，盡管油價在一個月里大幅下跌，甚至曾經(jīng)跌至負值，但EIA也注意到大量的停產(chǎn)，過去兩周的價格反彈表明，在疫情導致的需求大幅下降之后，市場正在再平衡過程中。

張春曉 摘譯自 道瓊斯

原文如下：

EIA Lifts Projection for Average 2020 Oil Price

The EIA says in its monthly Short Term Energy Outlook US crude oil production could average 11.7M bpd this year vs 12.2 last year and versus a 2020 projection of 11.8M bpd in its month-ago report. EIA also sees WTI oil prices averaging $30/bbl this year versus a projection of $29 a month ago and versus 2019's average $57. The forecast changes suggest that despite a wild month that saw oil prices turn negative, EIA also took note of significant production shut-ins, and a price-rebound over the past two weeks that suggest a rebalancing is underway following a huge, coronavirus-driver drop in demand.