據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站5月20日消息 國(guó)際能源署(IEA)在一份新的報(bào)告中稱,可再生能源行業(yè)今年的增長(zhǎng)率將下降,但明年將復(fù)蘇并開(kāi)始再次增長(zhǎng)。
IEA表示,今年將是20年來(lái)太陽(yáng)能和風(fēng)能新增產(chǎn)能首次出現(xiàn)下降,并指出,迄今為止,太陽(yáng)能和風(fēng)能行業(yè)已表現(xiàn)出對(duì)疫情帶來(lái)的影響的強(qiáng)大抵御能力。
即便如此,許多項(xiàng)目仍將推遲,導(dǎo)致今年太陽(yáng)能和風(fēng)能新增發(fā)電量較2019年減少13%。然而,2021年,新增可再生能源總量將恢復(fù)到2019年的水平,尤其是因?yàn)閮蓚€(gè)大型水電項(xiàng)目將于2021年投產(chǎn)。
這意味著,太陽(yáng)能和風(fēng)能的新增發(fā)電量增長(zhǎng)速度將低于IEA此前的預(yù)期,增幅將高達(dá)10%。
然而,這不應(yīng)成為擔(dān)憂的理由,因?yàn)榇饲暗念A(yù)測(cè)總是樂(lè)觀的,依賴于政府對(duì)可再生能源的持續(xù)支持。所有的預(yù)測(cè)都無(wú)法預(yù)測(cè)疫情及其對(duì)世界的影響程度。
IEA負(fù)責(zé)人法蒂赫·比托爾說(shuō):“可再生能源電力對(duì)危機(jī)影響的恢復(fù)力是個(gè)好消息,但不能想當(dāng)然。”
他補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“各國(guó)正在繼續(xù)建造新的風(fēng)力渦輪機(jī)和太陽(yáng)能發(fā)電廠,但速度要慢得多。甚至在疫情爆發(fā)之前,世界就需要大大加快可再生能源的部署,以便有機(jī)會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)其能源和氣候目標(biāo)。在當(dāng)今非同尋常的健康和經(jīng)濟(jì)挑戰(zhàn)中,各國(guó)政府不能忽視加快清潔能源轉(zhuǎn)型的基本任務(wù),以使我們能夠在安全和可持續(xù)的道路上擺脫危機(jī)?!?/span>
王磊 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)
原文如下:
IEA: The Renewable Energy Boom Will Restart In 2021
The renewable energy industry will see a decline in growth this year but will recover and start growing again next year, the International Energy Agency has said in a new report.
This year would be the first in two decades when new solar and wind power capacity additions will see a dip, the IEA said, noting that so far, the industry has demonstrated strong resilience to the consequences of the pandemic.
Even so, many projects will be delayed, leading to 13 percent fewer solar and wind power capacity additions this year, compared with 2019. In 2021, however, total new renewable energy additions will recover to 2019 levels, not least because of two large-scale hydropower projects set to come online in 2021.
This means that solar and wind will see slower growth for new additions than previously expected by the authority, and by as much as 10 percent.
However, this should not be cause for worry as previous forecasts were invariably upbeat, leaning on continued government support for renewable energy. None of the forecasts could anticipate the coronavirus pandemic and the extent of its impact on the world.
“The resilience of renewable electricity to the impacts of the Covid-19 crisis is good news but cannot be taken for granted,” the head of IEA, Fatih Bitol, said.
“Countries are continuing to build new wind turbines and solar plants, but at a much slower pace. Even before the Covid-19 pandemic struck, the world needed to significantly accelerate the deployment of renewables to have a chance of meeting its energy and climate goals. Amid today’s extraordinary health and economic challenges, governments must not lose sight of the essential task of stepping up clean energy transitions to enable us to emerge from the crisis on a secure and sustainable path,” he added.
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