巴西石油行業(yè)預(yù)計(jì)疫情影響將持續(xù)到2021年底

據(jù)路透社7月1日?qǐng)?bào)道，游說團(tuán)體IBP周二在一份報(bào)告中稱，巴西石油業(yè)預(yù)計(jì)，受進(jìn)口不斷增長(zhǎng)的推動(dòng)，未來幾個(gè)月巴西國(guó)內(nèi)需求將出現(xiàn)復(fù)蘇，但疫情負(fù)面影響預(yù)計(jì)將持續(xù)到2021年底。

據(jù)估計(jì)，在沒有協(xié)調(diào)減產(chǎn)的情況下，石油消費(fèi)量可能會(huì)下降10%以上，油價(jià)應(yīng)該在每桶20美元至40美元之間。

隨著疫苗的研制進(jìn)展和全球石油產(chǎn)量的削減，在油價(jià)達(dá)到每桶60-70美元區(qū)間的情況下，消費(fèi)量的降幅可能僅為5%。

鄒勤 摘譯自 路透社

原文如下：

Brazil's oil industry sees COVID-19 impact until the end of 2021

Brazil’s oil industry expects a recovery in domestic demand in the next months driven by growing imports, but the negative effects of COVID-19 are expected to last through the end of 2021, lobbying group IBP said in a note on Tuesday.

Consumption could drop by more than 10%, and oil prices should range between $20 and $40 per barrel without coordinated output cuts or social isolation, the institute estimated.

With a vaccine for the new coronavirus and production cuts, the drop in consumption could be limited to just 5%, with oil prices reaching the $60 to $70 range, it said. Brazil has the second-highest number of COVID-19 cases globally with more than 1.36 million cases.