短期內(nèi)石油價格會在區(qū)間內(nèi)窄幅波動

據(jù)3月1日FX Empire報道，石油上漲還是下降？基本面是否強(qiáng)勁到足以保證再次突破上限，還是會在短期內(nèi)回調(diào)到一個價格區(qū)間。

在3月4日歐佩克+計劃小幅增加產(chǎn)量的計劃決定之前，市場可能會進(jìn)行區(qū)間交易。同時還要考慮市場對之前關(guān)閉的德州煉油廠增加產(chǎn)量的反應(yīng)。

此外，增長的美國國債收益率，使美元走強(qiáng)，可能會抑制對以美元計價的原油的需求。俄羅斯可能要求歐佩克+加大力度，以緩解供應(yīng)削減的可能性。

王佳晶 摘譯自 FX Empire

原文如下：

Short-Term Outlook

Buy strength or Buy Weakness? That is the question. Are the fundamentals strong enough to warrant another breakout to the upside, or are we due for a short-term pullback into a value area?

The questions suggest we may be due for a rangebound trade until the market works out issues with OPEC+’s plan to slightly increase output when it meets on March 4. We also want to see how the market responds to the increase in production from the previously shutdown Texas refineries.

Furthermore, a couple of wildcards have entered the picture. They are rising Treasury yields that are driving up the U.S. Dollar and could dampen demand for dollar-denominated crude. And the possibility that Russia may ask for a bigger increase in OPEC+’s attempt to ease supply cuts.