據(jù)安迅思3月9日消息稱,??松梨诠緦⑵?025年全球油氣產量預測下調至370萬桶/天,盡管該公司將重點放在了二疊紀盆地和圭亞那的產量增長上。
該公司在2021年投資日的網絡廣播中表示,從2020年到2025年,產量將保持在370萬桶/天的水平。這低于??松梨谌ツ暝?020年投資者日發(fā)布的2025年500萬桶油當量/天的產量預測,當時冠狀病毒正開始影響全球石油需求和價格。
盡管全球產量將保持平穩(wěn),但該公司在圭亞那和二疊紀盆地的業(yè)務將在未來幾年內增加。
??松梨诠旧嫌胃呒壐笨偛肗eil Chapman表示,如果市場條件良好,其二疊紀油田的產量將在2020年達到37萬桶/天,今年平均產量將達到40萬桶/天,到2025年可能達到70萬桶/天。
這一數(shù)字低于幾年前該公司為2024年設定的100萬桶/天的目標。
??松梨诮衲暝诙B紀盆地的主要目標是實現(xiàn)兩位數(shù)的回報,同時保持5 - 7臺鉆機,在油價低于35美元/桶的情況下,該地區(qū)的資源潛力為100億桶油當量,利潤率高70%。此外,該公司還計劃到2025年將二疊紀盆地的排放量在2016年的基礎上減少50%。
據(jù)投資銀行Tudor Pickering Holt稱,??松梨谀壳霸谠摰貐^(qū)有8個鉆井平臺,而一年前為57個。
在圭亞那,??松梨诮洜I著該國的近海Stabroek區(qū)塊,該區(qū)塊是公司與赫斯公司和中國海油的合作下于2019年12月生產出該國的第一批石油。
該區(qū)塊第一期產量在第四季度達到了12萬桶/天的峰值,不過還有兩個項目正在開發(fā)中,將分別在2022年和2024年投產。這些項目將使用容量為22萬桶/天的浮式、生產、儲存和卸載船。
曹海斌 摘譯自 安迅思
原文如下:
ExxonMobil slashes 2025 production outlook as it focuses on Permian, Guyana
ExxonMobil has slashed its 2025 global oil and gas production estimate to 3.7 million boe/d, even as it focuses on growing output at the Permian Basin and in Guyana.
Production will remain flat from 2020 levels through 2025 at 3.7 million boe/d, the company said during its Investor Day 2021 webcast. That is down from the 5 million boe/d production estimate for 2025 ExxonMobil released last year in its 2020 Investor Day, just as the coronavirus was beginning to take its toll on global oil demand and prices.
While global production will remain flat, the company's operations in Guyana and the Permian Basin will ramp up over the next several years.
ExxonMobil expects its Permian operation, which produced 370,000 boe/d in 2020, to average 400,000 boe/d this year and potentially 700,000 boe/d by 2025, assuming favorable market conditions, Neil Chapman, ExxonMobil's senior vice president of upstream, said on the webcast.
That is down from the 1 million boe/d target the major had set for 2024 just a couple of years ago.
A major ExxonMobil objective for the Permian this year is to achieve double-digit returns while maintaining five to seven rigs in the play, where it has a resource potential of 10 billion boe with 70% higher-margin liquids at oil prices less than USD35/b WTI. As well, it also aims to decrease emissions 50% from its Permian operation by 2025 versus 2016 levels, Chapman said.
ExxonMobil currently has eight rigs working in the play, compared with 57 a year ago, according to investment bank Tudor Pickering Holt.
In Guyana, ExxonMobil operates the country's offshore Stabroek block, which produced the country's first oil under a partnership with Hess Corp. and China's CNOOC in December 2019.
The block ramped to peak first-phase output in the fourth quarter of 120,000 b/d, although two additional projects are under development that will begin production in 2022 and 2024, respectively. Those projects will utilize floating, production, storage and offloading vessels with capacities of 220,000 b/d each.
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